Home Marketers Alphabet Can Outgrow Everything Else, But Can It Outgrow Ads?

Alphabet Can Outgrow Everything Else, But Can It Outgrow Ads?

SHARE:

Describing Google’s revenue growth has become a problem, as it so vastly outpaces the human capacity to understand large numbers and percentage growth rates.

Since the company reported total revenue for Q4 of $113.8 billion on Thursday, perhaps a walk down memory lane of Alphabet Q4 earnings calls could provide some useful context.

Nine years ago, Alphabet’s Q4 2016 revenue was reported at $26 billion. That was back when CEO Sundar Pichai might use the word “programmatic” multiple times on an investor call, even citing the company’s third-party programmatic revenue as a “strong contributor” to growth.

Jump to Q4 2021, and Google made $75 billion. During Q4 2024, Google made $96 billion at a time when other ad-supported tech companies were crumpling.

In addition to its eye-popping total revenue for Q4 2025, Alphabet also cleared $400 billion for the full-year 2025, of which $132 billion was profit.

Alphabet’s market cap has almost doubled in the past year, as it is now a $4 trillion company.

Beyond ads

Google is the ads behemoth. But as the company’s investor call showed, ads are the skeleton for something that is growing in entirely new directions.

For instance, Mark Mahaney of the investment bank Evercore asked about YouTube’s 9% growth rate in Q4 2025, which lagged the growth of other ad channels.

There were some systemic effects, said Chief Business Officer Philipp Schindler, such as the drop-off from the election cycle. “But taking a step back, I think it’s important to think about YouTube ads and subs holistically,” he said.

YouTube Music and other subscription services had particularly strong quarters. And the net result is that “when a user shifts from being an ad-supported user to a YouTube Music and Premium customer, it has a slightly negative impact on YouTube ads revenues, but a positive impact on our business,” he said.

Ads also come up only sparingly among investors anymore. Ads remain the mechanism of monetization; that hasn’t changed at all. But the interest and metrics championed by Google’s leadership and investors are more to do with the daily token processing.

When Google boasted of its major new client “wins,” citing Wendy’s, Woolworths, Kroger and the Schwarz Gruppe, which operates Lidl among other grocery chains, it meant as enterprise cloud customers.

“Gemini is becoming the AI engine for the world’s most successful software companies,” Pichai said.

And the growth of Google’s own ad tech software is one of the main beneficiaries of its advancements in AI and with new Gemini models. For instance, he said some 70 million creative assets were AI-generated in Q4 for Google’s AI Max and Performance, which are its AI-based ad-serving products. And Gemini models reduce the number of wasted ads as they improve in query matching and ranking. Google also now serves ads more effectively on longer, more complicated search queries (in traditional search), which previously would have gone unmonetized.

To the degree that Google’s ad business goes up, it is tied more and more to the agentic AI and cloud-based business development.

Which, fair enough, Alphabet’s capital expenditures to support its AI growth reached $91.4 billion in 2025, split approximately 60% in servers and 40% in data centers and networking equipment, said CFO Anat Ashkenazi.

For 2026, Ashkenzai told investors the capex investment total is likely to fall between $175 billion and $185 billion.

That’s a lot of ads.

Tagged in:

Must Read

Josh Reed, Zoom's VP of brand and content, speaking at AdExchanger's Programmatic IO event in New York City (September 28, 2006)

Zoom’s Marketing Challenge Is That It’s Too Well Known For Its Own Good

Zoom has 99% unaided brand awareness, which sounds great on paper. But there’s a catch: Most people still think it’s just a video-call app.

Why Agencies Think They Shouldn’t Own Agentic AI Tools Or The Data Used To Build Them

Agencies are differentiating their tech stacks by building custom agentic AI tools for their clients. And they’re rethinking owning those AI tools – particularly since licensing them creates new revenue streams.

Programmatic IO: Insurers Are Building Ad Tech’s AI Accountability Layer

Agencies and marketers discussed the future of AI governance at AdExchanger’s Programmatic IO NYC this week. The main takeaway? Expect insurers to play an increasingly important role in managing AI compliance.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

Apple’s Latest Operating System Blocks The Trade Desk From Serving Ads On Safari

The Trade Desk is unable to serve ads to the Safari browser for Apple device owners that have downloaded iOS 27. Apple has been investigating the issue since last week.

Who Will Stand Up For The Open Web?

The open web is done, stick a fork in it. Banner blindness is near universal, search traffic has run dry and publishers are struggling for oxygen. But what if that’s … not true?

A comic showing lab techs as stand-ins for legislators experimenting with provisions for US state privacy laws, including restrictions on collecting sensitive data.

What Publishers Don't Know About New Jersey’s Data Broker Law Could Cost Them

Attention, publishers: Although you might not think of yourself as a data broker, in the great state of New Jersey, that’s not really your call anymore.