Home Marketer's Note The Good News Behind This Year’s Poor Black Friday Sales

The Good News Behind This Year’s Poor Black Friday Sales

SHARE:

Marketer’s Note” is a regular column informing marketers about the rapidly evolving, digital marketing technology ecosystem. This week it is written by Lizzie Komar, Associate Analyst, AdExchanger Research.  

Though analysts predicted strong growth for this year’s Black Friday and Cyber Monday, sales both in stores and online were estimated to have dropped 11 percent to $50.9 billion from $57.4 billion last year, according to the National Retail Federation. As marketers, the typical response is to question where the marketing went wrong. Was it poor customer targeting? Perhaps misfired pricing decisions? Or messaging overload? All of the above? None of the above?

But there is an intriguing story embedded in this year’s ultimate shopping weekend that few people are talking about. Despite lack of overall sales growth, online sales were higher than in-store sales over the holiday weekend and, according to IBM, are up 17% from last year. The implications of this are noteworthy – online is a significantly less expensive sales channel than brick-and-mortar, so despite diminished sales overall, with smart planning this year marketers could have achieved a positive ROI by focusing resources on the online sales channel rather than brick and mortar efforts.

If this trend continues – and it should – it’s good news for marketers interested in doing more with less for next year’s Black Friday.

As more and more consumers choose to shop online during Black Friday, marketers should determine their top drivers to the online marketplace, and put more ad budget there. Companies that spent a lot in TV and print this year and found an uptick in online sales will have an interesting challenge to understand if those expensive mass media buys drove to the web. Meanwhile, companies that drove significant sales online over Black Friday from digital channels like search or display now have another proof point for why digital should get a bigger piece of the budget next year.

Either way, it deserves serious discussion at next year’s planning meetings.

So, tell me! How did your ROI compare to last year’s? What about your online sales? How do you think this year’s Black Friday results will factor into marketing plans for next year?

Follow Lizzie Komar (@LizzieKomar) and AdExchanger Research (AdExchangerRsch) on Twitter. 

Must Read

Why Major UK Publishers Are Finally Joining Forces To Curate Ad Inventory

Atria’s collective approach is a response to growing monetization challenges and the need to protect the value of human journalism in the AI era.

Toronto Canada pride parade includes a crowd waving pride flags

Ad Performance And Politics Steered Brand Dollars Away From LGBTQ+ Communities – But The Pendulum Will Swing Back

The current administration has discouraged many marketers and organizations from showing support for the LGBTQ+ community, including during Pride month.

How AI Can Enhance Content Without Generating It

As much as consumers complain about AI-generated content, advertising experts say AI still has an important place in video creation and production, including for ads. But using AI in content without turning off consumers is a tricky dance.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

How Tovala Banks On Subscriptions And Incrementality – But Not Ads – To Profit From Its Oven

Smart TVs, refrigerators and other home appliances may pester you with marketing, but at least the hardware is cheap. Another startup taking a different approach to the same theory is Tovala, which was founded in 2015 and combines a standalone countertop oven with a weekly meal kit subscription.

Shopify Wades Deeper Into Advertising, But Not Ad Tech

Shopify is slowly but surely making its way into the ads business. But the ecommerce leader maintains its laissez-faire approach to ad monetization.

Advertisers Say They Need More Data From Netflix

Netflix touts sharper targeting, but buyers say its black-box approach – especially the lack of usable IP data – is blunting measurement and quietly pushing performance-driven spend elsewhere.