Home Marketer's Note The Good News Behind This Year’s Poor Black Friday Sales

The Good News Behind This Year’s Poor Black Friday Sales

SHARE:

“Marketer’s Note” is a regular column informing marketers about the rapidly evolving, digital marketing technology ecosystem. This week it is written by Lizzie Komar, Associate Analyst, AdExchanger Research.  

Though analysts predicted strong growth for this year’s Black Friday and Cyber Monday, sales both in stores and online were estimated to have dropped 11 percent to $50.9 billion from $57.4 billion last year, according to the National Retail Federation. As marketers, the typical response is to question where the marketing went wrong. Was it poor customer targeting? Perhaps misfired pricing decisions? Or messaging overload? All of the above? None of the above?

But there is an intriguing story embedded in this year’s ultimate shopping weekend that few people are talking about. Despite lack of overall sales growth, online sales were higher than in-store sales over the holiday weekend and, according to IBM, are up 17% from last year. The implications of this are noteworthy – online is a significantly less expensive sales channel than brick-and-mortar, so despite diminished sales overall, with smart planning this year marketers could have achieved a positive ROI by focusing resources on the online sales channel rather than brick and mortar efforts.

If this trend continues – and it should – it’s good news for marketers interested in doing more with less for next year’s Black Friday.

As more and more consumers choose to shop online during Black Friday, marketers should determine their top drivers to the online marketplace, and put more ad budget there. Companies that spent a lot in TV and print this year and found an uptick in online sales will have an interesting challenge to understand if those expensive mass media buys drove to the web. Meanwhile, companies that drove significant sales online over Black Friday from digital channels like search or display now have another proof point for why digital should get a bigger piece of the budget next year.

Either way, it deserves serious discussion at next year’s planning meetings.

So, tell me! How did your ROI compare to last year’s? What about your online sales? How do you think this year’s Black Friday results will factor into marketing plans for next year?

Follow Lizzie Komar (@LizzieKomar) and AdExchanger Research (AdExchangerRsch) on Twitter. 

Must Read

DoorDash Acquires Instacart As Consolidation Comes For Mobility Media

DoorDash on Thursday confirmed the rumors and announced its intention to acquire Instacart at a $17 billion valuation.

Comic: Gamechanger (Google lost the DOJ's search antitrust case)

Google Earned More Than $100 Billion In Ad Revenue Last Quarter, But Is It Even An Ad Business?

Google earned $127.6 billion in Q3, up 25% year over year, practically all of which came from ads. Yet advertising hardly came up during its earnings call on Wednesday evening.

Flat Hand Holding a magnifying glass, find the person you want from many people. Find the right thing for you.

Meta Has A New Ad Ranking System Built On LLMs, Plus Upgrades To Andromeda And GEM

Meta now scores every eligible ad for every impression at more than a billion ads per second, one of three ad ranking upgrades Meta announced on Wednesday.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

Marketbridge Acquires The B2B Advertising And Analytics Startup Channel99

The agency services group Marketbridge added to its portfolio on Tuesday by announcing its acquisition of Channel99, a B2B advertising and attribution tech company.

Programmatic, FAST And Queerness – The Trifecta Of Revry’s Future

The law-professional-to-queer-media-founder pipeline is not a particularly common one. But it’s exactly how Alia J. Daniels came to co-found Revry, a free streaming platform centering LGBTQ+ storylines.

Beehiiv Brings Dynamically Inserted Podcast Ads To Its Publisher Platform

Podcasters can open their inventory to programmatic demand to complement their direct-sold host-read ads and monetize their back catalogs.