Home The Sell Sider A Recession Is Coming. Publishers Must Prepare Now

A Recession Is Coming. Publishers Must Prepare Now

SHARE:
Kean Graham, CEO and founder, MonetizeMore

The Sell Sider” is a column written by the sell side of the digital media community.

Today’s column is written by Kean Graham, CEO and founder, MonetizeMore. 

Let’s call a spade a spade. Times are tough, and publishers must navigate through some murky waters to meet their revenue goals.

In Q2 of 2022, the ad tech industry witnessed a remarkable slowdown in scaled deal activity (almost 60%), and many acquisitions compensated for this loss. The reason? Global inflation, the Russia-Ukraine war, rising interest rates and the prospect of a recession are just a few factors.  

But what does this mean for publishers in particular, and how can they prepare? 

When large publishers start losing money, it’s an ominous signal for the entire ecosystem. The New York Times reported a 2.4% decline in ad revenue in Q2 2022. Vox Media, meanwhile, recently laid off several employees. CEO Jim Bankoff sent a memo to the company, citing economic issues with reduced marketing and advertising spending as primary reasons for the layoffs. 

Publishers know that an ad recession is coming and will impact them regardless of their traffic. But they can’t wait for the recession to hit before they take action.

Build a first-party data model 

Even if publishers survive the recession, there’s no guarantee their revenue will still stand firm post-third-party cookies. Publishers need a strategy for using their data to drive value. Data is the new currency. It’s time to effectively capture, store and use it to generate revenue streams and value.

Publishers must start investing in first-party data collection features on their websites, such as subscription forms, exit pop-ups, chat windows, etc. They should experiment beyond traditional websites and delve into mobile applications that require a mandatory sign-in feature. 

From there, they can use a robust Customer Data Platform (CDP) to organize this first-party data and create user profiles using touch points. Publishers can then directly sell this data to advertisers or use it to improve their websites.

Best practices for first-party data.
Source: AudiencePlay

Recognize and fight ad fraud 

Over the past year, ad fraud schemes have caused publishers and advertisers to lose a lot of money. The digital ad industry suffered an estimated loss of $65 billion due to ad fraud in 2021 alone. As a global recession looms, fraudsters are becoming more active in exploiting the system. 

To stay ahead of the challenges, publishers must understand what invalid traffic and bad bots are and take proactive steps to protect their business. 

Pick ad vendors wisely 

Publishers need to rethink their revenue goals as they choose their technology providers. Sometimes the provider yielding the highest revenue seems like the obvious choice. But another vendor that aligns more closely with a publisher’s strategy and goals might be a better option.

Make inventory worthwhile 

Advertisers will be more mindful of their spending during a recession, but that doesn’t mean they will stop investing altogether. For every dime that they invest, it has to be worth it. 

Publishers should start looking at the quality of their inventory. Consider how many impressions any ad space gets and which ad spaces on a web page pay the highest. Invest resources in creating quality content that gets recurring traffic with loyal users who stay around for more.

In the end, expect a V-shaped recovery. Publishers should remember that booms and recessions are a natural part of any economic cycle. They should continue to focus on growth above everything. 

When a recession is on the horizon, it’s time to start being more cautious. But that doesn’t mean publishers should put all their plans and forecasts aside. Instead, have an agile, real-time approach to modify plans as needed.

Follow MonetizeMore (@MonetizeMore) and AdExchanger (@AdExchanger) on Twitter. 

For more articles featuring Kean Graham, click here.

Must Read

Comic: Game Over?

The Google Antitrust Remedies Are Too Little, Too Late – But Publishers Will Take What They Can Get

Given how much the market has changed since the Google trial began, and the wiggle room in the ruling itself, publishers aren’t expecting much relief from the court’s behavioral remedies.

Comic: "Deal ID, please."

Can Sell-Side Curation Solve The Cookieless Audience Problem For Advertisers?

Indie agency KWG says sell-side curation can target more high-performing inventory with better match rates and lower data fees than buy-side curation.

Infillion Acquires Foursquare, Adding More Location Data To Its Ever-Growing Ad Tech Stack

Infillion checked in with its latest acquisition on Friday: Foursquare. Apparently, if there’s a strategically interesting or distressed ad tech asset on the market, Infillion will find it.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

HBO MAX’s Reddit Account Was Compromised And Used For Ad Fraud

A week ago, HBO MAX had its verified Reddit account overrun by a hacker group, which eluded notice for two days while it ran 108 different ad permutations targeting an unknown number of Redditors.

Gaming Wants To Prove It’s Just Like Other Media Channels – While Also Owning How It’s Different

Adapting other channels’ strategies might be what gaming platforms need to do to get advertisers comfortable spending more. Leaning into gaming’s differentiators will come later, after bigger budgets arrive.

Comic: Clickbait

Taboola Eyes The Finance Vertical With An Offer To Acquire Ad Network Dianomi

Taboola has made an offer to buy Dianomi, a UK-based ad tech company that connects financial advertisers with premium business and finance publishers.