Home Data-Driven Thinking Why Facebook Ads May Not Work As Well Anymore

Why Facebook Ads May Not Work As Well Anymore

SHARE:
Kunal Gupta headshot

Data-Driven Thinking” is written by members of the media community and contains fresh ideas on the digital revolution in media.

Today’s column is written by Kunal Gupta, CEO at Polar.

Facebook last week announced that its Off-Facebook Activity (OFA) tool would be available to more than 2 billion users worldwide.

The tool debuted in a controlled release in August, likely because Facebook wanted to gauge adoption and the resulting impact on its advertising business. It is no surprise that Facebook made it available to all worldwide users after the lucrative Q4 and holiday advertising season.

OFA represents all of the data outside of Facebook’s services (including Instagram) that the platform has collected about users. Often times, we are logged into Facebook within our browser, which means that Facebook can literally see all of our website activity – every website and most actions we take on those websites.

That’s because many businesses have an integration with Facebook within their apps and websites. The ability to like or share a website on Facebook with a single click indicates that the website owner has put some Facebook code on its pages. As a result, Facebook sees activity on those pages.

Most mobile apps, be it gaming, dating or shopping, allow users to log in with their Facebook account in one click. Facebook then knows every time we open those apps.

This has long been one of Facebook’s competitive advantages and why it is a $70.7 billion business ($69.7 billion from advertising), which is growing by 27% annually. The amount of additional data it has about its users allows it to efficiently deliver more targeted ads while limiting waste. Facebook has solved for the age-old view, “half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don’t know which half.” It has become adept at delivering ads to users who have a high chance to engage with them.

With the global rollout of OFA, it is clear that Facebook is introducing these controls as part of its settlement with the FTC last year and to get ahead of future privacy regulation.

Given that most users in social media are passive scrollers – the average person scrolls the height of the Empire State Building in one day on social media – there is likely not enough data to target advertising effectively from a user who is only scrolling through their news feed or Instagram feed without taking many actions.

Facebook may have consumer attention, however, websites and apps have consumer intention. OFA has long given Facebook unique access to consumer intention, and now that users can disconnect it, Facebook’s signals may be much weaker. As a result, advertising on the platform will likely become less effective (and less creepy).

Follow Kunal Gupta (@kunalfrompolar) and AdExchanger (@adexchanger) on Twitter.

Must Read

John Gentry, CEO, OpenX

‘I Am A Lucky And Thankful Man’: Remembering OpenX CEO John ‘JG’ Gentry

To those who knew him, John “JG” Gentry wasn’t just a CEO. He was a colleague who showed up with genuine care and curiosity.

Prebid Takes Over AdCP’s Code For Creating Sell-Side AI Agents

The group that turned header bidding software into an open standard is bringing the same approach to publisher-side AI agents.

Meta logo seen on smartphone and AI letters on the background. Concept for Meta Facebook Artificial Intelligence. Stafford, UK, May 2, 2023

Meta Bets That Its Ad Machine Can Fund Its AI Dreams

Meta is channeling its booming ad revenue into a $135 billion AI drive to power its “personal superintelligence” future.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters
Comic: Header Bidding Rapper (Wrapper!)

Microsoft To Stop Caching Prebid Video Files, Leaving Publishers With A Major Ad Serving Problem

Most publishers have no idea that a major part of their video ad delivery will stop working on April 30, shortly after Microsoft shuts down the Xandr DSP.

AdExchanger's Big Story podcast with journalistic insights on advertising, marketing and ad tech

Guess Its AdsGPT Now?

Ads were going to be a “last resort” for ChatGPT, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman promised two years ago. Now, they’re finally here. Omnicom Digital CEO Jonathan Nelson joins the AdExchanger editorial team to talk through what comes next.

Comic: Marketer Resolutions

Hershey’s Undergoes A Brand Update As It Rethinks Paid, Earned And Owned Media

This Wednesday marks the beginning of Hershey’s first major brand marketing campaign since 2018