Home On TV & Video All Attribution Is Wrong, But Do It Anyway

All Attribution Is Wrong, But Do It Anyway

SHARE:

On TV And Video” is a column exploring opportunities and challenges in advanced TV and video.

Today’s column is written by Matt Hultgren, vice president of analytics at Marketing Architects.

Complicated, expensive, unreliable and frustrating.

I have heard CMOs and marketing executives use these adjectives – and a few other unprintable ones – to describe their experiences with multichannel attribution.

To most, it’s a time-consuming exercise that’s filled with shaky data and unexplainable math, conducted using black-box methods that rival the CIA’s code of secrecy. Mere mortals have little chance of understanding its details.

My honest answer, when I hear these stories?

All attribution is wrong, but marketers need to do it anyway.

The ‘silver bullet’ does not exist

This may sound counterintuitive. Why pour time, effort and budget into a flawed application?

The answer gets to the central issue of attribution: the data model. All models have flaws, from missing data to incorrect assumptions. There is no silver bullet or single, perfect tool to measure each and every influence, action or result that a broadcast ad generates. Period.

Once marketing executives accept this fact, it’s possible to move forward with multichannel measurement programs that actually work. It’s possible to make decisions based on analytics where marketers are highly confident.

Subscribe

AdExchanger Daily

Get our editors’ roundup delivered to your inbox every weekday.

To increase confidence, reset expectations

First, marketers must be be clear about what their multichannel attribution model can and can’t deliver. Who doesn’t want to link every customer interaction – online and offline – to a quantifiable sale? It’s the holy grail of marketing measurement. But a 360-degree view requires immense discipline across the enterprise to capture information completely and govern data for accuracy; most organizations are years away from this goal.

What a multichannel attribution model can deliver are actionable insights to help marketers hone their media budget, message, offer and brand strategy. With broadcast advertising, for example, marketers can expect their attribution model to show them:

  • Which dayparts generate the strongest response
  • Which stations and markets are most effective
  • Which creative packs the biggest punch

Second, marketers must know what is and isn’t measurable. Television and other top-of-the-funnel activities create positive influences that optimize a brand in the minutes immediately following an ad, as well as in the days and weeks that follow. Tracking immediate actions, such as Google searches, phone calls and web orders, is relatively straightforward. Measuring improved brand awareness, consumer preference and word of mouth is harder.

Use multiple models to boost the trust factor

Lastly, marketers must tune up their data model. Whether they create their own or work with an agency or attribution partners, they must ensure the model has flexibility to accommodate the unique data points of their company, product and campaign. In other words, avoid one-size-fits-all models that take a cookie-cutter approach.

Whenever possible, marketers should run at least two attribution models side by side. In this way, they can inject more confidence into the analytics and insights that they receive. For example, when running an internal attribution test, it may be helpful to have an outside attribution firm simultaneously model the same data. When both models reveal similar results – using two slightly different methodologies – marketers would know they’re heading in the right direction.

Your attribution is wrong. But please, do it anyway.

Follow Marketing Architects (@markarch) and AdExchanger (@adexchanger) on Twitter.

Must Read

A TV remote framed by dollar bills and loose change

Resellers Crackdowns Are A Good Thing, Right? Well, Maybe Not For Indie CTV Publishers

SSPs have mostly either applauded or downplayed the recent crackdown on CTV resellers, but smaller publishers see it as another revenue squeeze.

The IAB Formalizes Its Measurement Initiatives Under Its New ‘Project Eidos’

The IAB unveiled its Project Eidos on Monday, a new program uniting its numerous measurement initiatives under one banner.

John Gentry, CEO, OpenX

‘I Am A Lucky And Thankful Man’: Remembering OpenX CEO John ‘JG’ Gentry

To those who knew him, John “JG” Gentry wasn’t just a CEO. He was a colleague who showed up with genuine care and curiosity.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

Prebid Takes Over AdCP’s Code For Creating Sell-Side AI Agents

The group that turned header bidding software into an open standard is bringing the same approach to publisher-side AI agents.

Meta logo seen on smartphone and AI letters on the background. Concept for Meta Facebook Artificial Intelligence. Stafford, UK, May 2, 2023

Meta Bets That Its Ad Machine Can Fund Its AI Dreams

Meta is channeling its booming ad revenue into a $135 billion AI drive to power its “personal superintelligence” future.

Comic: Header Bidding Rapper (Wrapper!)

Microsoft To Stop Caching Prebid Video Files, Leaving Publishers With A Major Ad Serving Problem

Most publishers have no idea that a major part of their video ad delivery will stop working on April 30, shortly after Microsoft shuts down the Xandr DSP.